Economics of Pensions: mapping of knowledge area and evaluation of a notional defined contribution (NDC) pension system in Brazil
pension; scientometric; notional accounts; pension reform; Brazil
The first study aims to analyze the features of economics and pensions knowledge area, which took place through the scientometric mapping of academic literature. The extraction, processing and analysis of bibliometric information from 9.5 thousand publications indexed in Web of Science and 15.5 thousand in Scopus led to the evaluation of several units of analysis (authors, countries, journals, publications, keywords) through different bibliometric techniques (production, co-authorship, citation, bibliographic coupling, co-citation, co-occurrence) and different softwares (R-bibliometrix, VOSviewer and CiteSpace). The scientometric mapping enabled understanding the field evolution from different perspectives, with emphasis on identifying authors, publications and journals with the greatest impact in the area, the main themes studied and the emerging research topics. The second study deals with the notional defined contribution (NDC) pension reforms paradigm, implemented in Sweden, Italy, Latvia and Poland during the 1990s. Specifically, the objective is to evaluate the expected impacts of an elementary proposal for NDC in Brazil, on the General Social Security Regime (RGPS), based on different evaluation dimensions (adequacy, sustainability and equity). In methodological terms, a projection model for groups of individuals was created based upon information obtained from the Continuous National Household Sample Survey (PNADC) and the Social Security Statistical Yearbook (AEPS). Simulations using the model enabled the calculation of evaluation indicators for the current scenario and reform in the next 100 years, which allowed considerations about the potential of this type of reform for Brazilian public pensions.